{"id":7974,"date":"2023-03-19T08:05:38","date_gmt":"2023-03-19T13:05:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=7974"},"modified":"2023-03-19T08:05:42","modified_gmt":"2023-03-19T13:05:42","slug":"study-finds-186-banks-vulnerable-to-svb-like-collapse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=7974","title":{"rendered":"<strong>Study finds 186 banks vulnerable to SVB-like collapse<\/strong>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A new study says that, depending on certain market conditions,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/category\/banking\"><u>nearly 200 U.S. banks<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;could be vulnerable to the same fate as Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A recent&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4387676\"><u>Social Science Research Network study<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;suggests that 186 American banks could fail if half of their depositors suddenly withdrew their funds. The researchers formulated a speculative scenario in which each bank experienced a run, and concluded that the FDIC would run out of money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The study was published shortly after the collapse of SVB, the worst American financial institution failure since 2008.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Our calculations suggest these banks are certainly at a potential risk of a run, absent other government intervention or recapitalization,&#8221; the economists wrote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Even if only half of uninsured depositors decide to withdraw, almost 190 banks are at a potential risk of impairment to insured depositors, with potentially $300 billion of insured deposits at risk,&#8221; the study&#8217;s abstract reads. &#8220;If uninsured deposit withdrawals cause even small fire sales, substantially more banks are at risk.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The issue lies in the fact that the studied banks&#8217; assets are in government bonds and mortgage backed securities, which were negatively affected by the Federal Reserve&#8217;s recent interest rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many of SVB&#8217;s assets were&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/category\/bonds\"><u>long-term government bonds.<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;Despite being a sound long-term investment, they were not worth as much as when SVB originally bought them. SVB invested too heavily in longer-term mortgage securities with more than 10 years to maturity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SVB sold those bonds at a staggering $1.8 billion loss to meet customer withdrawals. When SVB disclosed that loss, depositors panicked and withdrew their money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Overall, these calculations suggest that recent declines in bank asset values very significantly increased the fragility of the US banking system to uninsured depositor runs.&#8221; the study&#8217;s abstract concludes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/economy\/study-finds- banks-vulnerable-svb-like-collapse\">foxbusiness<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new study says that, depending on certain market conditions,&nbsp;nearly 200 U.S. banks&nbsp;could be vulnerable to the same fate as Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). A recent&nbsp;Social Science Research Network study&nbsp;suggests that 186 American banks could fail if half of their depositors suddenly withdrew their funds. The researchers formulated a speculative scenario in which each bank [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":7975,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1155],"tags":[3789,2074,1259,3786,1252,3787,3790,3788,3190],"class_list":["post-7974","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-bank-of-america","tag-economy","tag-fed","tag-government-bonds","tag-inflation","tag-mortgages","tag-rate-hikes","tag-savers","tag-silicon-valley-bank"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7974","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7974"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7974\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7976,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7974\/revisions\/7976"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7975"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7974"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7974"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7974"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}