{"id":51466,"date":"2025-12-20T03:06:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-20T09:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=51466"},"modified":"2025-12-20T06:19:53","modified_gmt":"2025-12-20T12:19:53","slug":"trump-economist-predicts-biggest-refund-cycle-ever-massive-checks-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=51466","title":{"rendered":"Trump economist predicts \u2018biggest refund cycle ever,\u2019 massive checks ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">A leading contender to become President Trump\u2019s next Federal Reserve chair said the administration expects larger tax refunds and higher take-home pay next year, as many Americans continue to express concerns about affordability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;We are going to see the biggest refund cycle ever in the history of America, and people are going to get massive refund checks,&#8221; National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said in an interview on&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/shows\/varney-co\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">FOX Business&#8217; &#8220;Varney &amp; Co.&#8221;<\/a>&nbsp;on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;We&#8217;re expecting just that part of it alone to be worth a couple-thousand-dollar refund \u2026 the numbers are striking.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">During his Wednesday evening address, President Trump said the administration expects &#8220;the largest tax refund season of all time&#8221; next spring and claimed many families would save between $11,000 and $20,000 annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The Trump administration is expecting the largest tax refund cycle &#8220;in history&#8221; in the spring of 2026.&nbsp;(Getty Images)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Hassett backed up this claim and pushed back against sentiment from a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/fox-news-poll-prices-pinch-voters-see-trump-focused-elsewhere\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recent Fox News Poll,&nbsp;<\/a>which found that 44% of those surveyed say they are falling behind financially, and 74% view the economy as &#8220;not so good&#8221; or &#8220;bad.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;You saw in the jobs report that &#8230; wages for the typical worker were up 3.7%. So if you&#8217;re running 3.7% wage increases at 1.6% core inflation, then real wages are growing at a rate of about 2 [to] 2.5%. By our estimates right now, blue-collar workers have already seen an almost $2,000 raise this year after inflation, because wages are growing so much faster than prices,&#8221; Hassett explained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">&#8216;The Big Money Show&#8217; panel previews President Donald Trump&#8217;s major economic prime-time address while Treasury officials unveil the &#8216;Trump Accounts&#8217; rollout and point to improving jobs data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;I think that what happens in the end \u2014 and this is what happened in the first [Trump] term \u2014 is that people will see it in their wallets,&#8221; he continued. &#8220;We didn&#8217;t pass the \u2018Big, Beautiful Bill\u2019 until the middle of the summer. And so a lot of the tax changes, which affect last year, weren&#8217;t in any tax forms that people filled out at the beginning of the year.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, Hassett struck a bullish tone on the economy and pointed to what he described as a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/economy\/cpi-inflation-november-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&#8220;blockbuster&#8221; November inflation<\/a>&nbsp;report, with figures coming in cooler than economists expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u2018The Big Money Show\u2019 panel discusses President Donald Trump\u2019s sharp economic message, cooling inflation, rising real wages and why Americans still aren\u2019t feeling relief despite improving data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;What&#8217;s happened is, as we predicted throughout this term, that if you really put the pedal to the metal on aggregate supply, then that&#8217;s gonna put downward pressure on prices,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;And don&#8217;t forget, that&#8217;s where we were last time in President Trump&#8217;s first term. We were growing in the 3% range, and we had inflation in the 1% range. And it looks like that&#8217;s where we are again.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/economy\/trump-economist-predicts-biggest-refund-cycle-ever-massive-checks-ahead\">foxbusiness<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A leading contender to become President Trump\u2019s next Federal Reserve chair said the administration expects larger tax refunds and higher take-home pay next year, as many Americans continue to express concerns about affordability. &#8220;We are going to see the biggest refund cycle ever in the history of America, and people are going to get massive [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":51467,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[3499,35708,1230],"class_list":["post-51466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-biggest","tag-refund","tag-trump"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51466","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=51466"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51466\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51468,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51466\/revisions\/51468"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/51467"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=51466"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=51466"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=51466"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}