{"id":47347,"date":"2025-09-13T03:38:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-13T08:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=47347"},"modified":"2025-09-13T02:00:21","modified_gmt":"2025-09-13T07:00:21","slug":"consumer-sentiment-worsens-as-some-economists-warn-of-stagflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=47347","title":{"rendered":"Consumer sentiment worsens as some economists warn of &#8216;stagflation&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Consumer sentiment dampened in September, extending a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/fresh-data-show-consumer-sentiment-amid-sweeping-new\/story?id=124651915\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">decline<\/a>&nbsp;from the previous month as government data showed a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/bls-set-release-1st-jobs-report-trump-fired\/story?id=125249122\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">hiring slowdown<\/a>&nbsp;alongside an uptick of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/inflation-expected-climbed-august-fed-weighs-interest-rate\/story?id=125436582\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">inflation<\/a>, prompting concern about an economic double-whammy called &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/stagflation-means-matters\/story?id=85317436\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">stagflation<\/a>.&#8221; The reading came in lower than economists expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The two-month downturn in shopper attitudes resumes a decline that took hold after Trump took office, University of Michigan Survey data on Friday showed. At its low point, consumer sentiment fell close to its worst level since a bout of inflation three years ago. The measure remains below where it stood in December, before Trump took office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Year-ahead inflation expectations held steady from August at 4.8%, the data showed. The outcome anticipated by respondents would put inflation well above its current level of 2.9%. Long-run inflation expectations ticked up for the second consecutive month, data showed.<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/US\/charlie-kirk-shooting-fbi-appeals-tips-manhunt-continues\/story?id=125469211\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The report arrived a day after an inflation reading&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/inflation-expected-climbed-august-fed-weighs-interest-rate\/story?id=125436582\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">showed<\/a>&nbsp;an uptick in price increases in August as President Donald Trump&#8217;s tariff policy intensified. Inflation stands at its highest level since January, though it remains less than a percentage point higher than the Federal Reserve&#8217;s target rate of 2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Consumer spending, which accounts for about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, is a key bellwether for the outlook of the nation&#8217;s economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The fresh survey of consumer sentiment came at a wobbly moment for the nation&#8217;s economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">A jobs report last week\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/bls-set-release-1st-jobs-report-trump-fired\/story?id=125249122\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">showed<\/a>\u00a0a sharp decrease in hiring in August, extending a lackluster period for the labor market. Meanwhile, a revision of previous hiring estimates on Tuesday\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/us-economy-added-911000-fewer-jobs-previously-reported\/story?id=125394153\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">revealed<\/a>\u00a0the U.S. economy added far fewer jobs in 2024 and early 2025 than previously estimated, deepening concern about the health of the U.S. job market.<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/inflation-expected-climbed-august-fed-weighs-interest-rate\/story?id=125436582\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The weak jobs data has raised alarm among some analysts that the U.S. economy may be slipping toward a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/us-headed-recession-experts-weigh\/story?id=124407347\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recession<\/a>, though the economy has largely averted the type of widespread job losses that often accompany a downturn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The economic conditions have put Federal Reserve policymakers in a bind. If the Fed raises interest rates as a means of protecting against tariff-induced inflation, it risks tipping the economy into a downturn. On the other hand, if the Fed lowers rates to stimulate the economy in the face of a hiring slowdown, it threatens to boost spending and worsen inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">In response to the flagging labor market, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates when policymakers meet next week. Investors peg the chances of a quarter-point rate cut this month at about 92% and the odds of a half-point cut at roughly 7%, according to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">CME FedWatch Tool<\/a>, a measure of market sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/consumer-sentiment-worsens-economists-warn-stagflation\/story?id=125509868\">abcnews<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Consumer sentiment dampened in September, extending a&nbsp;decline&nbsp;from the previous month as government data showed a&nbsp;hiring slowdown&nbsp;alongside an uptick of&nbsp;inflation, prompting concern about an economic double-whammy called &#8220;stagflation.&#8221; The reading came in lower than economists expected. The two-month downturn in shopper attitudes resumes a decline that took hold after Trump took office, University of Michigan Survey [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":47348,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1155],"tags":[3011,1907,1652],"class_list":["post-47347","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-consumer","tag-economists","tag-sentiment"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47347","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=47347"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47347\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47349,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47347\/revisions\/47349"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/47348"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=47347"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=47347"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=47347"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}