{"id":47272,"date":"2025-09-11T02:28:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T07:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=47272"},"modified":"2025-09-11T06:00:01","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T11:00:01","slug":"inflation-expected-to-have-climbed-in-august-as-fed-weighs-interest-rate-cut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=47272","title":{"rendered":"Inflation expected to have climbed in August as Fed weighs interest rate cut"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Fresh&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/inflation-expected-increased-slightly-july\/story?id=124480499\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">inflation<\/a>&nbsp;data to be released on Thursday will provide the latest look at price increases as some economists warn of a potential&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/tariffs-blame-rising-inflation-experts-weigh\/story?id=123799224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">tariff-induced jump<\/a>&nbsp;in household costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The new report arrives days before the Federal Reserve is set to announce a widely&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/fed-chair-powell-give-major-speech-trump-urges\/story?id=124841872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">expected<\/a>&nbsp;quarter-point interest rate cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">A hotter-than-expected inflation reading could prompt Fed policymakers to put off slashing rates, while a lower-than-expected figure may nudge the central bank toward a larger half-point cut.<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/wholesale-prices-unexpectedly-fall-amid-trumps-tariffs\/story?id=125432166\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Economists expect consumer prices to have climbed 2.9% over the year ending in August, which would mark a slight uptick from a 2.7% inflation rate recorded in the month prior. If the inflation reading matches economists\u2019 expectations, price increases would remain below the 3% rate recorded in January, the month President Donald Trump took office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">In recent months, tariffs modestly contributed to the uptick in overall inflation, analysts&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/tariffs-blame-rising-inflation-experts-weigh\/story?id=123799224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">previously told<\/a>&nbsp;ABC News, but overall price increases owed largely to a rise in housing and food products with little connection to Trump\u2019s levies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The fresh data is set to arrive at a wobbly moment for the nation&#8217;s economy. In recent months, inflation has picked up while hiring has slowed, posing a risk of an economic double-whammy known as &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/stagflation-means-matters\/story?id=85317436\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">stagflation<\/a>.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">A jobs report last week&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/bls-set-release-1st-jobs-report-trump-fired\/story?id=125249122\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">showed<\/a>&nbsp;a sharp decrease in hiring in August, extending a lackluster period for the labor market. Meanwhile, a revision of previous hiring estimates on Tuesday&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/us-economy-added-911000-fewer-jobs-previously-reported\/story?id=125394153\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">revealed<\/a>&nbsp;the U.S. economy added far fewer jobs in 2024 and early 2025 than previously estimated, deepening concern about the health of the U.S. job market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The weak jobs data has raised alarm among some analysts that the U.S. economy&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/us-headed-recession-experts-weigh\/story?id=124407347\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">may be slipping<\/a>&nbsp;toward a recession, though the economy has largely averted the type of widespread job losses that often accompany a downturn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The economic conditions have put Fed policymakers in a bind. If the Fed raises interest rates as a means of protecting against tariff-induced inflation, it risks tipping the economy into a downturn. On the other hand, if the Fed lowers rates to stimulate the economy in the face of a hiring slowdown, it threatens to boost spending and worsen inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">In response to the flagging labor market, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates when policymakers meet next week. Investors peg the chances of a quarter-point rate cut this month at about 90% and the odds of a half-point cut at nearly 10%, according to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">CME FedWatch Tool<\/a>, a measure of market sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The inflation data on Thursday will mark the latest figures unveiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) since Trump\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/hiring-expected-slowed-july\/story?id=124238397\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">fired<\/a>\u00a0BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer last month in response to a weak monthly jobs report. Trump claimed without evidence that McEntarfer had manipulated statistics for political reasons.<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Politics\/polish-foreign-minister-putin-laughs-trumps-peace-efforts\/story?id=125440375\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">McEntarfer, a Biden appointee who was confirmed by the Senate in 2024, had served in the federal government for two decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">&#8220;It has been the honor of my life to serve as Commissioner of BLS alongside the many dedicated civil servants tasked with measuring a vast and dynamic economy,&#8221; McEntarfer said in a social media post after her dismissal. &#8220;It is vital and important work and I thank them for their service to this nation.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">William Beach, a former commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, who was appointed by Trump, condemned McEntarfer&#8217;s dismissal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">&#8220;The totally groundless firing of Dr. Erika McEntarfer, my successor as Commissioner of Labor Statistics at BLS, sets a dangerous precedent and undermines the statistical mission of the Bureau,&#8221; Beach posted on X.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">McEntarfer did not respond to an earlier ABC News request for comment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/inflation-expected-climbed-august-fed-weighs-interest-rate\/story?id=125436582\">abcnews<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fresh&nbsp;inflation&nbsp;data to be released on Thursday will provide the latest look at price increases as some economists warn of a potential&nbsp;tariff-induced jump&nbsp;in household costs. The new report arrives days before the Federal Reserve is set to announce a widely&nbsp;expected&nbsp;quarter-point interest rate cut. A hotter-than-expected inflation reading could prompt Fed policymakers to put off slashing rates, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":47273,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1155],"tags":[2159,1252,880],"class_list":["post-47272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-expected","tag-inflation","tag-interest"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=47272"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47272\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47274,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47272\/revisions\/47274"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/47273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=47272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=47272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=47272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}