{"id":31741,"date":"2024-09-03T04:31:50","date_gmt":"2024-09-03T09:31:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=31741"},"modified":"2024-09-03T04:33:18","modified_gmt":"2024-09-03T09:33:18","slug":"ai-may-not-steal-many-jobs-after-all-it-may-just-make-workers-more-efficient","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=31741","title":{"rendered":"AI may not steal many jobs after all. It may just make workers more efficient"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON (AP) \u2014 Imagine a customer-service center that speaks your language, no matter what it is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Alorica, a company in Irvine, California, that runs customer-service centers around the world, has introduced an&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/hub\/artificial-intelligence\"><u>artificial intelligence<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;translation tool that lets its representatives talk with customers who speak 200 different languages and 75 dialects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">So an Alorica representative who speaks, say, only Spanish can field a complaint about a balky printer or an incorrect bank statement from a Cantonese speaker in Hong Kong. Alorica wouldn\u2019t need to hire a rep who speaks Cantonese.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Such is the power of AI. And, potentially, the threat: Perhaps companies won\u2019t need&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/linkedin-ai-jobs-careers-resume-844df49e47e829196001b74af63709bf\"><u>as many employees<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;\u2014 and will slash some jobs \u2014 if chatbots can handle the workload instead. But the thing is, Alorica isn\u2019t cutting jobs. It\u2019s still hiring aggressively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The experience at Alorica \u2014 and at other companies, including furniture retailer IKEA \u2014 suggests that AI may not prove to be the job killer that many people fear. Instead, the technology might turn out to be more like breakthroughs of the past \u2014 the steam engine, electricity, the internet: That is, eliminate some jobs while creating others. And probably making workers more productive in general, to the eventual benefit of themselves, their employers and the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Nick Bunker, an economist at the Indeed Hiring Lab, said he thinks AI \u201cwill affect many, many jobs \u2014 maybe every job indirectly to some extent. But I don\u2019t think it\u2019s going to lead to, say, mass unemployment. We have seen other big technological events in our history, and those didn\u2019t lead to a large rise in unemployment. Technology destroys but also creates. There will be new jobs that come about.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">At its core, artificial intelligence empowers&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/artificial-intelligence-ai-glaze-nightshade-9853b48019171368fbb8da20df98a13b\"><u>machines to perform tasks<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;previously thought to require human intelligence. The technology has existed in early versions for decades, having emerged with a problem-solving computer program, the Logic Theorist, built in the 1950s at what\u2019s now Carnegie Mellon University. More recently, think of voice assistants like Siri and Alexa. Or IBM\u2019s chess-playing computer, Deep Blue, which managed to beat the world champion Garry Kasparov in 1997.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">AI really burst into public consciousness in 2022, when&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/openai-gpto-chatgpt-ai-desktop-071dd86594bc310bac07b37cf5e9bafc\"><u>OpenAI introduced ChatGPT<\/u><\/a>, the generative AI tool that can conduct conversations, write computer code, compose music, craft essays and supply endless streams of information. The arrival of generative AI has raised worries that chatbots will replace freelance writers, editors, coders, telemarketers, customer-service reps, paralegals and many more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAI is going to eliminate a lot of current jobs, and this is going to change the way that a lot of current jobs function,\u2019&#8217; Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, said in a discussion at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Yet the widespread assumption that AI chatbots will inevitably replace service workers, the way physical robots took many factory and warehouse jobs, isn\u2019t becoming reality in any widespread way \u2014 not yet, anyway. And maybe it never will.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The White House Council of Economic Advisers said last month that it found&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/cea\/written-materials\/2024\/07\/10\/potential-labor-market-impacts-of-artificial-intelligence-an-empirical-analysis\/\"><u>\u201clittle evidence that AI will negatively impact overall employment.\u2019\u2019<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;The advisers noted that history shows technology typically makes companies more productive, speeding economic growth and creating new types of jobs in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">They cited a study this year led by David Autor, a leading MIT economist: It concluded that 60% of the jobs Americans held in 2018 didn\u2019t even exist in 1940, having been created by technologies that emerged only later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The outplacement firm Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas, which tracks job cuts, said it has yet to see much evidence of layoffs that can be attributed to labor-saving AI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI don\u2019t think we\u2019ve started seeing companies saying they\u2019ve saved lots of money or cut jobs they no longer need because of this,\u2019\u2019 said Andy Challenger, who leads the firm\u2019s sales team. \u201cThat may come in the future. But it hasn\u2019t played out yet.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, the fear that AI poses a serious threat to some categories of jobs isn\u2019t unfounded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Consider Suumit Shah, an Indian entrepreneur who caused a uproar last year by boasting that he had replaced 90% of his customer support staff with a chatbot named Lina. The move at Shah\u2019s company, Dukaan, which helps customers set up e-commerce sites, shrank the response time to an inquiry from 1 minute, 44 seconds to \u201cinstant.\u201d It also cut the typical time needed to resolve problems from more than two hours to just over three minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s all about AI\u2019s ability to handle complex queries with precision,\u2019&#8217; Shah said by email.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The cost of providing customer support, he said, fell by 85%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cTough? Yes. Necessary? Absolutely,\u2019\u2019 Shah posted on X.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Dukaan has expanded its use of AI to sales and analytics. The tools, Shah said, keep growing more powerful.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s like upgrading from a Corolla to a Tesla,\u2019&#8217; he said. \u201cWhat used to take hours now takes minutes. And the accuracy is on a whole new level.\u2019&#8217;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Similarly, researchers at Harvard Business School, the German Institute for Economic Research and London\u2019s Imperial College Business School found in a study last year that&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/video\/artificial-intelligence-gaming-labor-san-francisco-labor-unions-762de12ec51d402aa46d8c69fafca1f3\"><u>job postings for writers, coders and artists<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;tumbled within eight months of the arrival of ChatGPT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">A 2023 study by researchers at Princeton University, the University of Pennsylvania and New York University concluded that telemarketers and teachers of English and foreign languages held the jobs most exposed to ChatGPT-like language models. But being exposed to AI doesn\u2019t necessarily mean losing your job to it. AI can also do the drudge work, freeing up people to do more creative tasks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The Swedish furniture retailer IKEA, for example, introduced a customer-service chatbot in 2021 to handle simple inquiries. Instead of cutting jobs, IKEA retrained 8,500 customer-service workers to handle such tasks as advising customers on interior design and fielding complicated customer calls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Chatbots can also be deployed to make workers more efficient, complementing their work rather than eliminating it. A study by Erik Brynjolfsson of Stanford University and Danielle Li and Lindsey Raymond of MIT tracked 5,200 customer-support agents at a Fortune 500 company who used a generative AI-based assistant. The AI tool provided valuable suggestions for handling customers. It also supplied links to relevant internal documents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Those who used the chatbot, the study found, proved 14% more productive than colleagues who didn\u2019t. They handled more calls and completed them faster. The biggest productivity gains \u2014 34% \u2014 came from the least-experienced, least-skilled workers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">At an Alorica call center in Albuquerque, New Mexico, one customer-service rep had been struggling to gain access to the information she needed to quickly handle calls. After Alorica trained her to use AI tools, her \u201chandle time\u2019\u2019 \u2014 how long it takes to resolve customer calls \u2014 fell in four months by an average of 14 minutes a call to just over seven minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Over a period of six months, the AI tools helped one group of 850 Alorica reps reduce their average handle time to six minutes, from just over eight minutes. They can now field 10 calls an hour instead of eight \u2014 an additional 16 calls in an eight-hour day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Alorica agents can use AI tools to quickly access information about the customers who call in \u2014 to check their order history, say, or determine whether they had called earlier and hung up in frustration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Suppose, said Mike Clifton, Alorica\u2019s co-CEO, a customer complains that she received the wrong product. The agent can \u201chit replace, and the product will be there tomorrow,\u201d he said. \u201c \u2018Anything else I can help you with? No?\u2019 Click. Done. Thirty seconds in and out.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Now the company is beginning to use its Real-time Voice Language Translation tool, which lets customers and Alorica agents speak and hear each other in their own languages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt allows (Alorica reps) to handle every call they get,\u201d said Rene Paiz, a vice president of customer service. \u201cI don\u2019t have to hire externally\u2019\u2019 just to find someone who speaks a specific language.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Yet Alorica isn\u2019t cutting jobs. It continues to seek hires \u2014 increasingly, those who are comfortable with new technology.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe are still actively hiring,\u2019\u2019 Paiz says. \u201cWe have a lot that needs to be done out there.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/ai-jobs-artificial-intelligence-hiring-employers-unemployment-e57eb040009d77ddcce1574d1c1915fc\">Apnews<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WASHINGTON (AP) \u2014 Imagine a customer-service center that speaks your language, no matter what it is. Alorica, a company in Irvine, California, that runs customer-service centers around the world, has introduced an&nbsp;artificial intelligence&nbsp;translation tool that lets its representatives talk with customers who speak 200 different languages and 75 dialects. So an Alorica representative who speaks, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":31742,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1155],"tags":[4149,2492,10455,23111],"class_list":["post-31741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-jobs","tag-processing","tag-workload"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31741"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31741\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31743,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31741\/revisions\/31743"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/31742"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}