{"id":14427,"date":"2023-06-25T04:26:51","date_gmt":"2023-06-25T09:26:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=14427"},"modified":"2023-06-25T04:26:53","modified_gmt":"2023-06-25T09:26:53","slug":"us-officials-saw-signs-prigozhin-was-planning-challenge-to-russian-military-but-surprised-by-rapid-escalation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/?p=14427","title":{"rendered":"US officials saw signs Prigozhin was planning challenge to Russian military but surprised by rapid escalation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

US intelligence officials believe that Yevgeny Prigozhin, chief of the private Wagner military group, had been planning\u00a0a major challenge to Russia\u2019s military leadership\u00a0for quite some time, but it was unclear what the ultimate aim would be, three people familiar with the matter told CNN.
Intelligence officials briefed congressional leaders known as the Gang of Eight earlier this week concerning Wagner group movements and equipment buildups near Russia, two of the people said.
US and Western intelligence officials saw signs that Prigozhin was making preparations for such a move, including by massing weapons and ammunition, one Western intelligence official and another person familiar with the intelligence said.
A source familiar with the intelligence said \u201cit all happened very quickly,\u201d and it was difficult to discern how serious Prigozhin was about threatening the Russian military and where he would take his troops.
Prigozhin had vowed Friday to retaliate against Russian military leadership over an alleged strike on a Wagner military camp and claimed control of military facilities in two Russian cities. Yet by Saturday afternoon, he published an audio recording claiming he was turning his forces around from a march toward Moscow, just hours after\u00a0launching an insurrection\u00a0that posed the greatest threat to Russian President Vladimir Putin\u2019s authority in decades.
\u201cWe are turning our columns around and going back in the other direction toward our field camps, in accordance with the plan,\u201d he said in a message on Telegram after his forces claimed control of several military facilities and after he dispatched some of his troops towards Moscow.
The Kremlin said later Saturday that Prigozhin\u00a0had agreed to leave Russia for Belarus\u00a0in a deal apparently brokered by Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko that ended the armed insurrection.
As the situation unfolds, US and Western officials have been careful not to weigh in because of how Putin could weaponize any perceived involvement by the West in the escalating crisis, sources familiar with the administration\u2019s thinking told CNN.
Officials across the administration convened emergency meetings on Friday night to\u00a0assess the events, which unfolded so quickly that they caught US and European officials off guard, the sources said.
President Joe Biden spoke Saturday with the leaders of France, Germany and the United Kingdom about the unfolding situation in Russia, and they reaffirmed their \u201cunwavering support for Ukraine,\u201d according to a readout from the White House.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken\u2019s office, meanwhile, confirmed Saturday that he had spoken\u00a0with officials from Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom, and the European Union.
During the discussion, \u201cSecretary Blinken reiterated that support by the United States for Ukraine will not change,\u201d said State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller, adding that the US \u201cwill stay in close coordination\u201d with Western officials.
Blinken also made calls Saturday to his counterparts in Ukraine, Turkey and Poland, the State Department said.
Britain held a meeting of its emergency government task force to discuss the unfolding events, a UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office spokesperson told CNN earlier Saturday.
As Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine stalled earlier this year, US officials determined last year that there was an internal power struggle underway between the Wagner group and the Russian government,\u00a0CNN previously reported. However, US and European intelligence officials did not predict that Prigozhin would move to storm the Russian region of Rostov with his forces, according to sources familiar with the intelligence.
\u201cIt\u2019s so hard to tell how much was talk and how much was real,\u201d one of the sources told CNN. \u201cThe tension had been building for so long without anything actually happening.\u201d
Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris were briefed by their national security team Saturday about the latest developments in Russia and will continue to be briefed throughout the day, according to a statement from the White House.
\u201cWe are continuing to monitor the situation,\u201d National Security Council spokesperson Adam Hodge told CNN Saturday afternoon.
US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin also discussed the situation in Russia with his counterparts in Canada, France, Germany, Poland and the United Kingdom, Pentagon press secretary Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder said in a statement Saturday.
A European intelligence official told CNN that the \u201ctemperature had obviously been building,\u201d but few could have predicted what Prigozhin was planning. The official said the West will be watching how this plays out in the next 24 to 48 hours, after which supply shortages will likely start kicking in for Wagner forces.
It is not clear to US or European officials how far in advance Prigozhin was planning the rebellion. One source familiar with Western intelligence said it appeared that it must have taken at least several days to organize. Another source, however, noted that Rostov is very close to the frontlines in Ukraine so it may not have required much forethought.
Ukrainian President\u00a0Volodymyr Zelensky\u00a0said Saturday that this conflict has exposed Russia\u2019s \u201cweakness,\u201d with a Ukrainian defense spokesperson calling it a\u00a0\u201csign of the collapse\u2002of the Putin regime.\u201d
\u201cRussia\u2019s weakness is obvious. Full-scale weakness,\u201d Zelensky\u00a0said in a tweet. \u201cAnd the longer Russia keeps its troops and mercenaries on our land, the more chaos, pain, and problems it will have for itself later.\u201d
CNN<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

US intelligence officials believe that Yevgeny Prigozhin, chief of the private Wagner military group, had been planning\u00a0a major challenge to Russia\u2019s military leadership\u00a0for quite some time, but it was unclear what the ultimate aim would be, three people familiar with the matter told CNN.Intelligence officials briefed congressional leaders known as the Gang of Eight earlier […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":14428,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[9063],"class_list":["post-14427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-the-wagner-private-military-group"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14427","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14427"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14427\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14429,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14427\/revisions\/14429"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ustower.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}